Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bournemouth |
41.11% ( -2.03) | 25.43% ( -0.04) | 33.46% ( 2.08) |
Both teams to score 55.7% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.93% ( 0.84) | 48.07% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.76% ( 0.76) | 70.24% ( -0.76) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% ( -0.63) | 23.22% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.88% ( -0.92) | 57.12% ( 0.93) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( 1.75) | 27.46% ( -1.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% ( 2.21) | 62.94% ( -2.21) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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