Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bournemouth |
38.54% ( -0.78) | 25.6% ( 0.29) | 35.85% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.54% ( -1.28) | 48.45% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.41% ( -1.18) | 70.59% ( 1.17) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% ( -0.98) | 24.71% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.75% ( -1.39) | 59.25% ( 1.39) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.79% ( -0.32) | 26.2% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.7% ( -0.43) | 61.3% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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