We said: Panathinaikos 1-2 Lens
Despite playing over an hour with 10 men in the first leg, Lens were able to secure a 2-1 victory to take into the away leg, and with 11 men on the pitch in Greece, we believe the visitors will secure another victory here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.