Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Plymouth Parkway had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-3 (6.93%). The likeliest Plymouth Parkway win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.