Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portugal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portugal.