PSV3 - 2Shakhtar
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, November 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie
for
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League
for
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Shakhtar Donetsk
An impressive win over Girona last time out in this competition shows that PSV have the firepower in attack to progress to the knockouts, and they should fancy themselves to put on a similar show here. Despite a win over Young Boys on matchday four, and some brilliant form domestically, Shakhtar do not travel well and have shown their deficiencies against stronger clubs in this competition already this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 3-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
73.38% ( -0.14) | 15.66% ( 0.2) | 10.96% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
