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Champions League
Qarabag
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Tofik Bakhramov
Lincoln Red Imps

Qarabag
5 - 0
Lincoln

Juninho (17', 31', 44'), Benzia (66'), Andrade (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Casciaro (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Qarabag FK and Lincoln Red Imps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

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Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 23 at 5pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Lincoln Red Imps

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 23 at 5pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Qarabag FK 2-0 Lincoln Red Imps (Qarabag win 4-0 on aggregate)

 If Qarabag's home record is any indication, then Lincon Red Imps could struggle once again. Additionally, given the visitors must score at least twice, it would not be a surprise to see the hosts take advantage of Lincoln's desperation during a counter-attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawLincoln Red Imps
58.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.69% (0.0010000000000012 0) 20.11% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)41.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.27% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)41.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.27% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 58.19%
    Lincoln Red Imps 20.11%
    Draw 21.69%
Qarabag FKDrawLincoln Red Imps
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.35%
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.45%
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.99%
4-2 @ 1.69%
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 20.11%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Lincoln

Qarabag FK
92.2%
Draw
5.9%
Lincoln Red Imps
2.0%
51
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2024 5pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Lincoln
0-2
Qarabag

Britto (72'), Torilla (74')
Juninho (45+2'), Bayramov (75')
> Preview
Jul 19, 2023 5pm
First Qualifying Round 2nd Leg
Qarabag
4-0
Lincoln
Zoubir (7'), Mustafazada (45+1'), Xhixha (49'), Jankovic (62')

Sergeant (44'), Gomez (64')
> Preview
Jul 11, 2023 4.30pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Lincoln
1-2
Qarabag
Gomez (25')
Yahaya (45+4'), Casciaro (72'), Lopes (78')
Xhixha (58'), Benzia (90+4')
> Preview
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