Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Qarabag4 - 0Lincoln
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Qarabag FK 2-0 Lincoln Red Imps (Qarabag win 4-1 on aggregate)
Despite struggling to break down an obdurate Lincoln side last week, Qarabag possess plenty of attacking talent and have options that can change a game from off the bench. With their lead still a slim one, the hosts will still be motivated to go for goals, before stepping off the gas once the job is all but done. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln Red Imps win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
37.46% ( 0.03) | 23.91% ( -0) | 38.62% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
