Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford |
41.07% ( 0.65) | 25.88% ( 0.07) | 33.04% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 54.05% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.85% ( -0.45) | 50.15% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% ( -0.4) | 72.12% ( 0.41) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( 0.13) | 24.15% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.53% ( 0.19) | 58.47% ( -0.18) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( -0.67) | 28.73% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% ( -0.85) | 64.57% ( 0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
> Championship Full Table |