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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Portsmouth

Watford
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Kayembe (57' pen.), Vata (90+5')
Baah (30'), Kayembe (59')
Baah (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Swanson (11')
Mousinho (31'), Pack (57'), Schmid (59'), Murphy (60'), Lang (64'), Swanson (75'), Moxon (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Watford and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Watford
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 3-1 Portsmouth

 Portsmouth may have enjoyed success in their recent home outing against Coventry, but they struggled to produce their best form on the road this season, and given their poor away record against Watford, we think that they will be left empty-handed in their Boxing Day clash with the Hornets. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawPortsmouth
56.73% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06) 24.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 19.2% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.26% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.98% (0.026999999999994 0.03)53.02% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (0.021999999999998 0.02)74.61% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.012 -0.01)18.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)49.77% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.01% (0.075000000000003 0.08)41.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (0.065999999999999 0.07)78.42% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 56.72%
    Portsmouth 19.2%
    Draw 24.07%
WatfordDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.94% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: Watford vs Portsmouth

Watford
74.5%
Draw
17.6%
Portsmouth
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2012 3pm
Portsmouth
2-0
Watford
Mullins (87')
Kitson (79')

Dickinson (56'), Mariappa (66')
Loach (82')
Nov 19, 2011 3pm
Watford
2-0
Portsmouth
Kightly (2')
Hogg (75')

Kitson (57')
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Watford
3-0
Portsmouth
Taylor (42'), Sordell (52'), Graham (69')

Dickinson (57'), Utaka (74')
Halford (90')
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
3-2
Watford
Brown (80'), Mullins (17'), Kitson (72')
Mokoena (33'), Nugent (56'), Kitson (89')
Taylor (67')
Eustace (43')
Apr 9, 2007 3pm
Watford
4-2
Portsmouth
Mahon (46'), Bouazza (73', 28' pen.), Priskin (51')
Taylor (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021
> Championship Full Table


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