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Real Sociedad logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Red Bull Salzburg

Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Salzburg


Elustondo (38')
FT

Dedic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Sociedad and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 3-2 Hartberg
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Real Sociedad 3-1 Red Bull Salzburg

Real Sociedad have been arguably the revelation of this Champions League campaign so far, sealing progression after just four games, and will hope for a favour from Benfica to boost their chances of winning the group heading into a matchday six encounter with Inter. Salzburg dropping into the Europa League would give them a huge chance to be competitive, but it is likely to go down to the final matchday, as it will be a big ask for them to get a result here given Real's form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawRed Bull Salzburg
34.15% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 25.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.19% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)71.04% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.016000000000005 0.02)62.95% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)24.07% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)58.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.15%
    Red Bull Salzburg 40.19%
    Draw 25.66%
Real SociedadDrawRed Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.15%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.19%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Salzburg

Real Sociedad
87.1%
Draw
7.8%
Red Bull Salzburg
5.2%
116
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Salzburg
0-2
Real Sociedad

Solet (41'), Pavlovic (76'), Struber (77'), Baidoo (88')
Oyarzabal (7'), Mendez (27')
Le Normand (15'), Mendez (59')
Feb 22, 2018 8.05pm
Round of 32
Salzburg
2-1
Real Sociedad
Dabbur (10'), Berisha (74' pen.)
Schlager (9'), Dabbur (32')
Navas (28')
Navas (24'), Illarramendi (90')
Navas (71')
Feb 15, 2018 6pm
Round of 32
Real Sociedad
2-2
Salzburg
Odriozola (57'), Januzaj (80')
Rulli (28'), Illarramendi (36'), Moreno (41'), Prieto (72'), Elustondo (83')
Oyarzabal (27' og.), Minamino (90')
Hee-Chan (41'), Ramalho (60'), Samassekou (62'), Yabo (74'), Caleta-Car (79'), Dabbur (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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