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Champions League header

Champions League
Red Bull Salzburg
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Inter logo

Salzburg
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Pavlovic (51'), Gluh (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (85' pen.)
Aurel Bisseck (27'), Calhanoglu (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Swarovski 0-2 Salzburg
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 4 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Red Bull Salzburg 1-2 Inter Milan

 Salzburg will hope to transfer their recent domestic form onto the Champions League stage as they can ill-afford to lose against Inter if they wish to keep their slim hopes of reaching the last 16 alive. However, the Nerazzurri are a force to be reckoned with at present and should ultimately have too much quality throughout their side, particularly in the final third with Martinez leading the line, for their Austrian counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawInter Milan
30.19% (-0.131 -0.13) 25.13% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 44.69% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.35% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (0.312 0.31)47.93% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (0.285 0.28)70.11% (-0.28200000000001 -0.28)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (0.067999999999998 0.07)29.52% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (0.079999999999998 0.08)65.54% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.232 0.23)21.46% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (0.354 0.35)54.49% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 30.19%
    Inter Milan 44.69%
    Draw 25.12%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 30.19%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.85% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.03 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.69%

How you voted: Salzburg vs Inter Milan

Red Bull Salzburg
20.7%
Draw
13.5%
Inter Milan
65.8%
111
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Inter Milan
2-1
Salzburg
Sanchez (19'), Calhanoglu (64' pen.)
Mkhitaryan (28')
Gluh (57')
Simic (23'), Gourna-Douath (29'), Struber (45+2')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2023 6pm
Club Friendlies
Salzburg
3-4
Inter Milan
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Frattesi (76')
> Preview
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Club Friendlies
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Mkhitaryan (20'), Acerbi (42'), Bernardo (72' og.), Carboni (90+1')
> Preview
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