We said: Republic of Ireland 1-0 Finland
There is a lot riding on the fixture for both nations as they bid to avoid relegation from League B. Neither side have looked particularly strong going forward, so a low-scoring affair could be on the cards in Dublin. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to edge this one as they did in last month's reverse fixture.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Finland had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.
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