Friday's encounter promises to be an exciting one as two impressive runs of form are pitted against one another, and we see the visitors' winning streak being ended in a competitive draw.
Rio Ave have certainly shown their resilience in recent weeks, holding high-flying opposition on several occasions, and with home advantage and the need for continued results in their survival bid, we fancy them to take a share of the spoils again when they meet an in-form Arouca side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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