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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Boavista

Arouca
2 - 1
Boavista

Mujica (30'), Weverson (39')
Simao (34'), Weverson (52'), Montero (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bambu (47')
Perez (34'), Agra (79'), Abascal (90')
Couto (35'), Perez (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Braga 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Boavista

All competitions
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Boavista
Friday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-0 Boavista

 While Boavista will be looking to find their feet this weekend, they take on a spirited Arouca side who have been rock-solid at home in recent weeks. We predict that the Arouquenses will pick up where they left off against Braga and come away with another comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBoavista
44.08% (0.525 0.52) 25.08% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 30.85% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.425 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.435 -0.43)47.42% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.405 -0.41)69.63% (0.40599999999999 0.41)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.058999999999997 0.06)21.52% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (0.088999999999999 0.09)54.58% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.595 -0.59)28.82% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.747 -0.75)64.67% (0.749 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 44.08%
    Boavista 30.85%
    Draw 25.08%
AroucaDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.189 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.08%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.85%

How you voted: Arouca vs Boavista

Arouca
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Boavista
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Boavista
0-4
Arouca

Onyemaechi (1'), Perez (45+1'), Morais (67'), Berna (81'), Ferreira (82')
Morais (90+4')
Cristo (2', 23'), Mujica (39'), Jason (72')
Milovanov (42'), Sylla (55'), Trezza (70')
Milovanov (49')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 8pm
Fourth Round
Arouca
2-2
Boavista
 Arouca win 4-3 on penalties
Cristo (39'), Santos (105+5' pen.)
Kouassi (38'), Milovanov (58'), Trezza (95'), Santos (110')
Bozenik (62'), Lourenco (106')
Onyemaechi (18'), Morais (37'), Awaziem (46'), Lourenco (49'), Bozenik (78'), Berna (105+2'), Vukotic (120')
Mar 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 23
Boavista
0-0
Arouca
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 6
Arouca
1-2
Boavista
Mujica (27')
Sasso (31'), Tavares (70')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Boavista
1-0
Arouca
Gorre (12')
Nathan (61'), Njie (74'), Perez (90'), Morais (90+7')

Dabbagh (63'), Galovic (84'), Ruiz (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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