MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 20:05:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Arouca

Braga
0 - 3
Arouca


Moutinho (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Saatci (29' og.), Mujica (34', 89')
Montero (9'), Simao (46'), Santos (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 3-5 Braga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 3-1 Arouca

Braga are in hot form and currently on a four-match winning streak on home soil. They have also been dominant in this fixture over the years and we think this will continue on Saturday. However, we also think that Arouca will break their scoring drought in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawArouca
62.96% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 20.62% (-0.233 -0.23) 16.42% (0.292 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.71% (1.434 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97% (1.578 1.58)43.03% (-1.58 -1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57% (1.543 1.54)65.43% (-1.545 -1.55)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95% (0.473 0.47)13.05% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.37% (0.959 0.96)39.62% (-0.96100000000001 -0.96)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62% (1.325 1.33)39.37% (-1.328 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (1.213 1.21)76.07% (-1.215 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Braga 62.95%
    Arouca 16.42%
    Draw 20.62%
BragaDrawArouca
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.129 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.173 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.114 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 62.95%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.177 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.62%
0-1 @ 4.79% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.42%

How you voted: Braga vs Arouca

Braga
96.0%
Draw
0.0%
Arouca
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Arouca
0-1
Braga

Simao (40'), Santos (88')
Djalo (36')
Moutinho (45+3'), Bruma (46'), Magalhaes (85'), Ruiz (90+3')
Feb 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Braga
2-0
Arouca
Ruiz (1'), Banza (81')
Aug 28, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Fernandes (6'), Simao (38'), Milovanov (39')
Banza (1'), Horta (4', 40'), Oliveira (44'), Castro (67'), Lainez (76')
Medeiros (19'), Elmusrati (21'), Lainez (48')
May 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Braga
1-0
Arouca
Horta (87')

Nunes (84')
Dec 30, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 16
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Valderrama (9'), Evangelista (45+4')
Oliveira (5', 12', 26'), Medeiros (71' pen.), Fernandes (74', 80')
Couto (54'), Mineiro (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912


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