We said: Moreirense 2-1 Rio Ave
Moreirense will be looking to pick up where they left off against Farense as they must avoid any slip-ups in their quest to secure European football. While we expect Rio Ave to put up a fight, their performances on the road have been nothing to write home about this season. That said, we fancy Borges's men to claim all three points in front of their home supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.