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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Stoke City |
35.76% ( -0.04) | 25.52% ( -0) | 38.72% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.89% | 48.1% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.73% | 70.27% ( -0) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( -0.03) | 26.09% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( -0.03) | 61.15% ( 0.03) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.54% ( 0.02) | 24.46% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.1% ( 0.03) | 58.9% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
3 | Burnley | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
4 | Sunderland | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
5 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 27 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
12 | Bristol City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 20 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
24 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
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