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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Leeds logo

Sheff Weds
0 - 2
Leeds


Rohl (45'), Famewo (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bamford (45+5'), Gnonto (58')
Ampadu (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Stoke
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United boast more quality throughout their ranks and have enjoyed the far stronger Championship season, but they are bound to face a tough test at Hillsborough on Friday against a resurgent Sheffield Wednesday side. With both sides desperate for three points and full of confidence, and with the added stakes of a derby fixture, we predict a cagey encounter ending level in Sheffield. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawLeeds United
25.38% (0.264 0.26) 23.66% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 50.96% (-0.279 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.54% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33% (0.161 0.16)44.67% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.96% (0.155 0.16)67.04% (-0.151 -0.15)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (0.30099999999999 0.3)31.4% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.345 0.34)67.77% (-0.342 -0.34)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)17.58% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.86% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)48.14% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 25.38%
    Leeds United 50.96%
    Draw 23.65%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.035 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 25.38%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 50.96%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Leeds

Sheffield Wednesday
24.5%
Draw
16.6%
Leeds United
58.9%
151
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Leeds
0-0
Sheff Weds
Rutter (79')
Delgado (35'), Windass (61')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 12.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
1-0
Sheff Weds
Harrison (65')
Harrison (16'), Phillips (45')

Lees (6'), Hutchinson (47')
Sep 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Sheff Weds
1-1
Leeds
Reach (45')
Penney (33'), Bannan (72')
Klich (54')
Klich (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Bristol City216962626027
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
23Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317


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