Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.