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EFL Cup
Everton logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Southampton logo

Everton
1 - 1
Southampton

Doucoure (20')
Dixon (31'), Harrison (74'), Lindstrom (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harwood-Bellis (32')
Armstrong (27')
Southampton win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Everton and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 Everton
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Southampton

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 0-3 Man Utd
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We said: Everton 1-1 Southampton (Southampton win on pens)

 Nothing seems to be going right for Everton, even when things look like they are improving, as their two recent collapses show, and another defeat here will be hugely demoralising for the home support. In a game where both sides could make many personnel changes, there could be little to separate the two in a scrappy encounter, which may go all the way to the dreaded spot kicks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%).

Result
EvertonDrawSouthampton
32.03% (-1.104 -1.1) 24.6% (-0.107 -0.11) 43.36% (1.212 1.21)
Both teams to score 58.03% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18% (0.122 0.12)44.82% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (0.119 0.12)67.18% (-0.117 -0.12)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (-0.622 -0.62)26.76% (0.623 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-0.827 -0.83)62.04% (0.829 0.83)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (0.607 0.61)20.76% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.6% (0.943 0.94)53.4% (-0.941 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Everton 32.03%
    Southampton 43.36%
    Draw 24.6%
EvertonDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.03%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.126 0.13)
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.214 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 3.6% (0.176 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.092 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.094 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.36%

How you voted: Everton vs Southampton

Everton
66.7%
Draw
20.2%
Southampton
13.1%
99
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Everton
1-2
Southampton
Onana (39')
Ward-Prowse (46', 78')
> Match Report
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Southampton
1-2
Everton
Aribo (49')
Coady (52'), McNeil (54')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
2-0
Everton
Armstrong (52'), Long (84')

Allan (15'), Calvert-Lewin (40')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Everton
3-1
Southampton
Richarlison (47'), Doucoure (76'), Calvert-Lewin (81')
Richarlison (30'), Doucoure (77')
Armstrong (22')
> Match Report
Mar 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
Everton
1-0
Southampton
Richarlison (9')

Armstrong (77'), Tella (80')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


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