Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.95%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 23.01% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.