MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 08:23:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leeds logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Leeds


Famiwuya (38'), Tchamadeu (45+2'), Wilmot (51'), Cannon (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (42', 63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-3 Leeds United

Despite the fact that Stoke have not often lost at home, they are in dire form and have been porous in their defensive third. Additionally, Leeds have been outstanding recently, and it would not be surprising if they piled further misery on their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Stoke City win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
21.72% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 22.43% (0.0030000000000001 0) 55.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.2% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)43.03% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)65.43% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)33.67% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)70.32% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)15.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)43.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 21.72%
    Leeds United 55.85%
    Draw 22.42%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.85%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leeds

Stoke City
21.6%
Draw
13.5%
Leeds United
64.9%
74
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Leeds
1-0
Stoke
James (33')
Gruev (90+5')

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
(Aggregate 2-2 | Stoke win 5-4 on penalties)
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Washington
45-31
Lions
8pm
Rams
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Ravens
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!