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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Luton Town

Leeds
3 - 0
Luton

Byram (10'), Piroe (45+1'), James (81')
Clark (90'), Ramazani (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hashioka (50'), Rodon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 3-4 Leeds
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Hull City
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 1-0 Luton Town

 Luton Town will certainly be boosted by the weekend's victory and have more quality than their current standing suggests, but they face one of the division's toughest tests on Wednesday. Leeds United have won each of their last five home games, only conceding once along the way, and we back them to come out on top at Elland Road once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 8.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.51%) and 1-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLuton Town
76.43% (1.28 1.28) 15.08% (-0.448 -0.45) 8.49% (-0.828 -0.83)
Both teams to score 46.64% (-2.085 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)37.8% (0.736 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.95% (-0.789 -0.79)60.05% (0.79199999999999 0.79)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79% (0.113 0.11)8.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.26% (0.271 0.27)28.74% (-0.266 -0.27)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.82% (-2.332 -2.33)49.19% (2.337 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.92% (-1.712 -1.71)84.09% (1.717 1.72)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 76.42%
    Luton Town 8.49%
    Draw 15.08%
Leeds UnitedDrawLuton Town
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.56 0.56)
3-0 @ 10.51% (0.523 0.52)
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.397 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 6.57% (0.361 0.36)
4-1 @ 4.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.28% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.224 -0.22)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-0 @ 1.37% (0.089 0.09)
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 76.42%
1-1 @ 7.17% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.04% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.287 -0.29)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 15.08%
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.54% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 8.49%

How you voted: Leeds vs Luton

Leeds United
87.3%
Draw
6.9%
Luton Town
5.9%
102
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
1-1
Luton
> Match Report
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-2
Leeds
Collins (54')
Bamford (51'), Pearson (90' og.)
Ayling (53')
> Match Report
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Luton
0-1
Leeds

Lee (53')
Denton (23')
Grimes (1'), Coyle (62')
Jan 26, 2008 3pm
Luton
1-1
Leeds
Parkin (90')
Huntington (27')
Huntington (28'), Ankergren (79')
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
Leeds
1-0
Luton
Kandol (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921
> Championship Full Table


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