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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Stoke logo

Luton
2 - 1
Stoke

Morris (24'), Adebayo (90')
Chong (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cannon (6')
Burger (85'), Koumas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 7 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Stoke City

Neither side is having a strong season so far, with both struggling in recent weeks, but with Luton having the home advantage, where they have lost just one of their last eight matches, we expect a victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawStoke City
42.68% (0.562 0.56) 25.91% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 31.41% (-0.636 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.495 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (-0.527 -0.53)50.76% (0.528 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.466 -0.47)72.66% (0.467 0.47)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (0.067 0.07)57.7% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (-0.69 -0.69)30.12% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (-0.837 -0.84)66.26% (0.83799999999999 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.68%
    Stoke City 31.41%
    Draw 25.9%
Luton TownDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.68%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Stoke

Luton Town
70.4%
Draw
11.1%
Stoke City
18.5%
54
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
1-0
Stoke
Ruddock (6')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
2-0
Luton
Powell (3'), Lockyer (13' og.)
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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