MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 11:37:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
2 - 1
Stoke

Watson (7', 86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koumas (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Sunderland
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke City

This could turn into a tense game between two teams who are gradually losing confidence in getting wins on the board. However, Sunderland have more reason to throw caution to the wind and it may lead to them delivering a late victory at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
47.78% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 26.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.81% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.067999999999998 0.07)52.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (0.056999999999999 0.06)74.32% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)22.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (0.036000000000001 0.04)55.39% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.18% (0.054999999999993 0.05)34.81% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.54% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 47.77%
    Stoke City 26.45%
    Draw 25.76%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
77.8%
Draw
16.7%
Stoke City
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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