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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Norwich logo

Stoke
0 - 3
Norwich


Campbell (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sargent (24'), Sara (28'), Barnes (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Norwich City

Although there is a wide margin between these two sides in the table, Stoke's win last weekend goes some way to levelling the playing field. With that in mind, do not be surprised if a competitive low-scoring draw is played out, one that suits Stoke more than Norwich. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
44.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.26% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)48.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)70.57% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)21.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)54.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.76% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.44%
    Norwich City 30.3%
    Draw 25.26%
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Norwich

Stoke City
28.9%
Draw
26.3%
Norwich City
44.7%
38
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Stoke
Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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