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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Stoke
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Latte Lath (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough

At some point, the feeling may be that Stoke's array of talent will finally return to form, and facing a side like Boro represents the ideal opportunity. However, we are backing Carrick's inconsistent side to take advantage of playing with less pressure to prevail at the bet365 Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
35.46% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 40.26% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (0.026999999999994 0.03)42.38% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)64.79% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (0.012999999999991 0.01)21.16% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (0.020000000000003 0.02)54.02% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 35.46%
    Middlesbrough 40.26%
    Draw 24.27%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.09%
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.26%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City
26.3%
Draw
26.3%
Middlesbrough
47.4%
19
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
0-0
Middlesbrough
Batth (35'), Smith (72')
Dijksteel (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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