MX23RW : Monday, December 30 17:45:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Stoke logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Stoke

James (33')
Gruev (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Stoke City

 Stoke's offensive forces are rarely kept out on enemy territory, but shutting up shop at the other end of the pitch is where the Potters' problems lie away from home, and such vulnerabilities will surely be exposed by the Championship's best home team. Fatigue may be starting to set in for Farke's overworked troops, but the Whites boss can adjust his attacking setup with some formidable options and ought to oversee a seventh straight league win at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
61.09% (0.394 0.39) 20.65% (0.061 0.06) 18.26% (-0.453 -0.45)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-1.098 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (-1.032 -1.03)39.91% (1.034 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.72% (-1.078 -1.08)62.27% (1.081 1.08)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (-0.208 -0.21)12.62% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.25% (-0.433 -0.43)38.74% (0.435 0.44)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-1.098 -1.1)35.36% (1.102 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-1.162 -1.16)72.12% (1.164 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 61.09%
    Stoke City 18.26%
    Draw 20.65%
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.303 0.3)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.365 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.157 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 61.09%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.26%

How you voted: Leeds vs Stoke

Leeds United
86.7%
Draw
6.3%
Stoke City
7.0%
143
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
> Match Report
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
 Stoke win 5-4 on penalties
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
> Match Report
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-3
Leeds
Dallas (42'), Alioski (50'), Bamford (66')
Nketiah (80'), Phillips (90+4')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!