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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
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Leeds
1 - 0
Stoke

James (33')
Gruev (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Stoke City

 Stoke's offensive forces are rarely kept out on enemy territory, but shutting up shop at the other end of the pitch is where the Potters' problems lie away from home, and such vulnerabilities will surely be exposed by the Championship's best home team. Fatigue may be starting to set in for Farke's overworked troops, but the Whites boss can adjust his attacking setup with some formidable options and ought to oversee a seventh straight league win at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
61.09% (0.394 0.39) 20.65% (0.061 0.06) 18.26% (-0.453 -0.45)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-1.098 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (-1.032 -1.03)39.91% (1.034 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.72% (-1.078 -1.08)62.27% (1.081 1.08)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (-0.208 -0.21)12.62% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.25% (-0.433 -0.43)38.74% (0.435 0.44)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-1.098 -1.1)35.36% (1.102 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-1.162 -1.16)72.12% (1.164 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 61.09%
    Stoke City 18.26%
    Draw 20.65%
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.303 0.3)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.365 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.157 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 61.09%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.26%

How you voted: Leeds vs Stoke

Leeds United
86.7%
Draw
6.3%
Stoke City
7.0%
143
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
> Match Report
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
 Stoke win 5-4 on penalties
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
> Match Report
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-3
Leeds
Dallas (42'), Alioski (50'), Bamford (66')
Nketiah (80'), Phillips (90+4')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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