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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke

Etete (5'), Grant (32')
Ng (40'), Siopis (51'), Ralls (76'), Goutas (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bae (41')
Thompson (45+2'), Burger (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City

Cardiff's season is beginning to stagnate following a worrying run of results, and we cannot envisage a change in the Bluebirds' fortunes on Saturday. Stoke have been more competitive in matches recently under Schumacher, and we believe that the Potters will be good enough to return to Staffordshire with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 31.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
31.55% (-0.18 -0.18) 26.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 41.69% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 50.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)54.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)75.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.107 -0.11)31.73% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (-0.122 -0.12)68.16% (0.12 0.12)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.11999999999999 0.12)25.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.16699999999999 0.17)60.52% (-0.169 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 31.55%
    Stoke City 41.69%
    Draw 26.75%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.69%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
39.5%
Draw
34.9%
Stoke City
25.6%
43
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
0-0
Cardiff
McNally (42')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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