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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
44.45% ( -0.36) | 25.11% ( 0.23) | 30.44% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.27% ( -0.96) | 47.73% ( 0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.08% ( -0.9) | 69.92% ( 0.89) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( -0.56) | 21.48% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.48% ( -0.87) | 54.52% ( 0.87) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.75% ( -0.4) | 29.24% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.8% ( -0.5) | 65.2% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.45% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Burnley | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
3 | Sunderland | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
5 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
11 | Bristol City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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