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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sunderland

Watford
1 - 0
Sunderland

Andrews (64')
Kayembe (10'), Lewis (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Nien (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Sunderland

Wins have been in short supply for both teams of late and we certainly do not expect many goals in this contest. Both teams may feel content not to suffer defeat, leading us to predict a dull stalemate at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSunderland
39.87% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 26.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 33.91% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)51.38% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.041 0.04)73.19% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)28.78% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (0.055 0.05)64.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 39.87%
    Sunderland 33.91%
    Draw 26.21%
WatfordDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.91%

How you voted: Watford vs Sunderland

Watford
Draw
Sunderland
Watford
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Sunderland
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Sunderland
2-0
Watford
Huggins (43'), Ba (62')
Burstow (50')

Ngakia (27'), Dele-Bashiru (58'), Bachmann (74'), Louza (74'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (87')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Sunderland
2-2
Watford
O'Nien (70'), Roberts (90+5')
Kabasele (17'), Porteous (69')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Watford
2-2
Sunderland
Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)
Alese (45'), Bennette (87')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Britos (59')
Capoue (93')

Jones (72'), Khazri (77'), Kone (78')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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