Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Campo Do Calvario
Vila Real2 - 0Atletico Arcos
Paulo Oliveira Neto (45+3'), Miguel Maio Gomes (89')
Augusto Martins de Carvalho (87')
Augusto Martins de Carvalho (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bobo Mendes (75'), Ricardo Reis Gomes (79')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Vila Real and Atletico Arcos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vila Real win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atletico Arcos had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vila Real win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Atletico Arcos win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vila Real would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vila Real | Draw | Atletico Arcos |
55.68% ( 0.06) | 26.07% ( -0.03) | 18.24% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.58% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
