Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United |
43.05% ( -0.45) | 23.81% ( -0.13) | 33.13% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 61.28% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.24% ( 0.83) | 40.76% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.85% ( 0.84) | 63.14% ( -0.84) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.78% ( 0.15) | 19.21% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.09% ( 0.24) | 50.91% ( -0.25) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.85% ( 0.73) | 24.15% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.54% ( 1.03) | 58.46% ( -1.04) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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