Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals
Jan 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 0Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Benfica 2-1 Braga
While Braga stunned the Estadio da Luz at the weekend, it is unlikely lightning will strike twice, despite their very fine away form of late. Benfica have been much better since Lage came in earlier this season, frequently performing well in big games, and with a place in the final on the line, they may just have the edge in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Braga |
63.29% ( 0) | 20.29% ( 0.14) | 16.42% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
