Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.