Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.