MX23RW : Monday, November 25 14:13:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 1
Toluca

Gonzalez (12'), Madrigal (18')
Balanta (74'), Barbosa (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Morales (90+6')
Araujo (74'), Morales (81'), Venegas (81'), Volpi (90+8')
Meneses (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 3-0 Tijuana
Saturday, September 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 5-0 Pachuca
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawToluca
43.46% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 25.2% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 31.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)47.73% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (-0.023 -0.02)69.92% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)21.94% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)55.22% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.64% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 43.46%
    Toluca 31.34%
    Draw 25.19%
Club TijuanaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.46%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.34%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 12
Tijuana
3-3
Toluca
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Toluca
3-1
Tijuana
Gonzalez (34'), Meneses (49'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Baeza (12')
Lopez (23')
Diaz (29'), Canelo (71'), (90+4')
Diaz (74')
Mar 2, 2022 1am
Gameweek 8
Toluca
1-2
Tijuana
Rivera (39' og.)
Canelo (26'), Castaneda (45+2'), Rodriguez (63')
Ruiz (17'), Montecinos (85')
Montecinos (25'), Rodriguez (30'), Rivera (36'), Orozco (90+3')
Aug 7, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 3
Tijuana
0-2
Toluca
Tercero (10'), Guzman (61'), Rak (90')
Baeza (65'), Castaneda (75'), Luis Vanegas Zuniga (85')
Jan 31, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 4
Tijuana
3-2
Toluca
Manotas (13'), Martinez (21'), Sansores (24')
Lorona (43'), Manotas (74'), Tercero (86')
Canelo (37'), Barbieri (53')
Canelo (56'), Torres (67'), Sambueza (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!