Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.12) 
