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Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
1 - 2
Puebla

Ditta (45')
Guerrero (67'), Uriel (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martinez (20'), Silva (59')
Angulo (28'), Herrera Rodriguez (84'), Sansores (90+9'), de los Santos (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Puebla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, November 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 5-4 Club Leon
Saturday, November 4 at 3am in Liga MX

We said: Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla

 Puebla are not as strong in the attacking third as their previous result might suggest, and we expect to see an even match with two sides who have failed to find much consistency this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawPuebla
52.05% (0.375 0.38) 23.94% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 24% (-0.46 -0.46)
Both teams to score 54.12% (-0.773 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (-0.78 -0.78)47.18% (0.775 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.58% (-0.73 -0.73)69.41% (0.724 0.72)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)18.11% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.257 -0.26)49.05% (0.252 0.25)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (-0.81999999999999 -0.82)33.91% (0.814 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (-0.896 -0.9)70.58% (0.89100000000001 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 52.05%
    Puebla 24%
    Draw 23.93%
Cruz AzulDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 24%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 8
Puebla
1-3
Cruz Azul
Jul 24, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 4
Cruz Azul
2-2
Puebla
Gimenez (23' pen., 26')
Rodriguez (31'), Escobar (38')
Cortizo (3'), Barragan (29')
Vazquez (46'), Cortizo (61')
Mar 6, 2022 3am
Gameweek 9
Cruz Azul
1-3
Puebla
Aguilar (82')
Maia (69')
Sep 25, 2021 2am
Gameweek 10
Puebla
1-1
Cruz Azul
Parra (14')
Angulo (38')
Yotun (40')
Yotun (55')
Jan 17, 2021 1am
Gameweek 2
Cruz Azul
0-1
Puebla

Baca (79'), Yotun (89')
Tabo (9')
Gularte (45'), Perg (64'), Silva (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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