Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Necaxa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pachuca 0-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, October 20 at 12am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 20 at 12am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Tijuana
Saturday, October 19 at 4am in Liga MX
Saturday, October 19 at 4am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
Result | ||
CD Guadalajara | Draw | Necaxa |
59.33% ( -0.67) | 22.77% ( 0.39) | 17.9% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 48.85% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.28% ( -1.16) | 49.71% ( 1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.27% ( -1.05) | 71.72% ( 1.04) |
CD Guadalajara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.6% ( -0.63) | 16.4% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.94% ( -1.14) | 46.05% ( 1.14) |
Necaxa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.43% ( -0.36) | 41.56% ( 0.35) |