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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 6, 2024 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
2 - 2
Atlas

Zaldivar (37'), Hurtado (72' pen.)
Campillo (44'), Mosquera (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aguirre (49'), Reyes (81')
Guillen (21'), Zaldivar (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Juarez and Atlas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Club Leon
Sunday, April 28 at 12.06am in Liga MX

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 28 at 4.10am in Liga MX

We said: Juarez 1-2 Atlas

 Atlas had an usually poor season last term compared to other performances in recent years - however, they remain favorites in this fixture as a result of their dominance over Juarez. We expect the hosts to edge this clash in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawAtlas
41.1% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 27.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 31.13% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)58.08% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (-0.035 -0.04)78.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)27.78% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)63.36% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92%34.08% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.76% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 41.1%
    Atlas 31.13%
    Draw 27.77%
JuarezDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.47% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.13%

How you voted: Juarez vs Atlas

Juarez
46.7%
Draw
13.3%
Atlas
40.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2024 1am
Gameweek 3
Atlas
2-1
Juarez
Aguirre (7'), Solari (34')
Aguirre (47'), Solari (49'), Nervo (58'), Garcia (71')
Garcia (76'), Caicedo (90+1')
Ortiz (62')
Calvo (26'), Santos (32'), Perez Bouquet (90+5')
Sep 23, 2023 2am
Gameweek 9
Juarez
1-2
Atlas
Hurtado (69' pen.)
Urzi (45+6')
Caicedo (3'), Martinez (52')
Zapata (31'), Rodriguez (45+1'), Vargas (90+1')
Apr 10, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 14
Juarez
1-1
Atlas
Medina (41')
Aug 17, 2022 1am
Gameweek 9
Atlas
0-1
Juarez
Duenas (65')
Mar 12, 2022 3am
Gameweek 10
Juarez
1-2
Atlas
Olivera (38'), Garcia (46')
Torres (26'), Aguirre (32'), Abella (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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