Liga MX | Gameweek 15
May 1, 2021 at 3.30am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
Juarez1 - 0Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juarez in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Toluca |
| 37.21% | 28.34% | 34.45% |
| Both teams to score 46.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
