Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Sep 17, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan
Mazatlan1 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, September 11 at 10pm in Liga MX
Sunday, September 11 at 10pm in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Juarez | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Mazatlan | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Club Tijuana | 15 | -12 | 15 |
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Pumas
Sunday, September 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, September 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Tigres | 15 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Toluca | 15 | 1 | 23 |
| 7 | CD Guadalajara | 15 | 4 | 22 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mazatlan | Draw | Toluca |
42.63% ( 0.19) | 25.85% ( 0.09) | 31.52% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( -0.49) | 50.46% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( -0.43) | 72.39% ( 0.43) |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.12) | 23.51% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.45% ( -0.17) | 57.55% ( 0.17) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% ( -0.43) | 29.89% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.02% ( -0.53) | 65.98% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
Mazatlan 42.63%
Toluca 31.52%
Draw 25.84%
| Mazatlan | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.52% |
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3am
Aug 17, 2021 11pm
Toluca
2-2
Mazatlan
Gonzalez (9'), Sambueza (38' pen.)
Barbieri (45+3')
Barbieri (45+3')
Sanvezzo (32'), Emilio Sanchez Castillo (44')
Freitas (58'), Diaz (90+3')
Freitas (58'), Diaz (90+3')
Aug 8, 2020 3.30am
