Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.