Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.