Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.