Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos Laguna in this match.