Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.