Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Pachuca |
| 34.48% | 25.95% | 39.57% |
| Both teams to score 54.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% | 50.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% | 27.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.59% | 63.41% |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% | 24.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.45% | 59.55% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 34.48%
Pachuca 39.57%
Draw 25.94%
| Toluca | Draw | Pachuca |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 9.63% 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.57% |
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2020 3am
Gameweek 12
Pachuca
0-0
Toluca
Mar 22, 2020 1am
Gameweek 11
Pachuca
P-P
Toluca
Mar 31, 2019 2am
